דיבייט: לאן ישראל הולכת אחרי ההפיכה החוקתית

So what happens from today? Where is Israel going after the constitutional revolution recorded its first major achievement?

The answer is not complicated. Israel will continue on the same path it has been on since January 4th. From the moment Levin's opponent announced the coup plan, those who oppose it went on demonstrations (pictured: Rivka Shapadov And I'm at the first demonstration against the coup, the umbrella demonstration in the pouring rain in the Bima square) because they realized that Israel is beginning to unravel the threads that created it.
And from now on every tribe in the country is fighting for its life. But only one of the tribes fought for the country.

Israel was for 75 years a country of nine tribes: 3 egoistic tribes, 3 semi-mixed tribes and 3 elite tribes.

Each of the tribes took care of itself, but some tribes also took care of the other tribes.

There were three egoistic tribes that only care about themselves: an Arab tribe with goals only for itself, an ultra-Orthodox tribe with goals only for itself, a tribe of foreign workers.

There were three semi-mixed tribes that rely on the elite, but take care of at least one other tribe besides themselves: the Druze tribe took care of the Arab tribe, the settler-Christian tribe took care of the religious tribe and the ultra-Orthodox tribe, and the Mizrachi-Makufah tribe took care of the religious and ultra-Orthodox tribe.

And there were three elite tribes, who took care of all the tribes:
There is the secular Mizrachi tribe, part of which is already fully integrated into the elite but still maintains a connection to the disadvantaged Mizrachi tribe and the religious tribes and hostility to the secular Ashkenazi tribe. And there is the moderate religious-nationalist tribe, which is also integrated into the secular elite on the one hand and the Messianic faction on the other.

And last but not least, there remains the Ashkenazi secular faction (within which almost all the Russians and the inter-denominational marriages have integrated). And this tribe didn't consider itself a 'tribe' until January 4th. He saw the country himself.

This secular tribe sees itself and is seen by everyone as an elite, but an elite serves. I mean, there is no doubt that he takes care of himself like all the other tribes, but he feels strong and responsible enough to take care of all the other tribes.

In fact, this is the only tribe that voluntarily decided to give more power and money to other tribes (no other tribe initiated the transfer of power from its hands to another tribe).
In fact, almost everything that was established in the country for the benefit of the country was established by this tribe: hospitals (except for two), factories, state borders, universities (except for one), courts, police, army, security services, nuclear reactors, foreign relations, etc.

Although other tribes also established things, but mainly for their own benefit. There is no hospital in the kibbutzim, there is no Arab university in Bnei Barak, not even an ultra-Orthodox student has raised money for the sewage treatment plant in Ofakim, etc. But there are many examples of Ashkenazi secularists establishing such things for the other tribes.

But all these tribes have one thing in common: they all hate to be suckers. If there's one thing Israelis hate more than anything else, it's feeling like a sucker.
And now the secular tribe feels exploited and suckered. feels that the army he founded is under the command of dodgers, who would be happy to send his children to murder civilians. Feels that the law enforcement mechanisms he established give the other tribes immunity from bribery, fraud, tax evasion, construction anomalies, protection for businesses and the establishment of criminal organizations - and that in fact only seculars are required to follow the law to pay property taxes and make reserves. And of course his tax money goes to finance settlements, settlements, and members of the Likud center in the guise of civil servants.

And before we talk about where the secular tribe is headed, it is important to mention that even under the new constitutional coup, none of the tribes intends to take on the role of the serving elite. The ultra-Orthodox do not intend to start paying taxes or enlisting in the army, the settlers do not intend to build a system of laws for the common good, the disadvantaged Mizrahi do not intend to build universities and hospitals, and the Arabs? I think even they don't know what they want.

And now the secular tribe has two options, and it is torn between the two:
One is to fight for his status as an elite, and the other is to behave like the other tribes.

On the one hand he can start to behave like the other tribes and take care of himself. Organize an exemption from the army for everyone who has money and education to be admitted to a university like in Russia, and leave an army like in Russia. Stop paying half of his income to the tax authority like the elite in Turkey do, and leave it to the Bank of Israel to print money like in Turkey. Establish his own internal police that will make sure that the Protection and the criminal organizations stay out of Herzliya and Ra'anana, etc. like they do in Brazil. And of course start moving his valuable assets - especially the children - abroad like the Christian elite in Lebanon did.

All these options are good for the Ashkenazi secularists, and also for the educated Mizrachi secularists, but of course they will break up the country within years. Maybe even within months.

And the second option is to fight for his status as an elite. To sacrifice all the assets he has accumulated over the years as a tribe in order to maintain a status that will leave him with enough power and resources to take care of all the other tribes and the country as a whole.
In the meantime this is what this tribe chooses to do.

But these properties are running out:
He burned the professors' property at the beginning of the struggle, and also the road blocking property. Burn the property of the soldiers who served the country, the property of Holocaust survivors, the property of the disabled, etc. After Gallant, he burned the assets of the pilots and reserve fighters, and these days he is actually burning the decommissioning assets of the hospitals and shopping centers.
But burning property to preserve the country is not a feasible policy in the medium term and certainly not in the long term. He still has some assets left to burn, but not many:
The asset of ties with the US has not yet been burned, nor the asset of regular fighters, or the asset of non-violence - but these are very few assets, and burning them would be very, very expensive. We have seen the cost of burning the property of the pilots and fighters on the military.

And the Ashkenazi seculars don't like to just burn valuable assets. Also because they created them but especially because after these assets are burned the seculars already see less and less reason to fight for the country.

And if that happens, the secularists will stop fighting for the state, and then its disintegration will accelerate. The criminal organizations, the tax evaders, the repentants, the youth of the hills and Hezbollah and Hamas will check what they can achieve. will be great